Game recap

Chiefs @ Raiders

2026 Wk 4 · LV 27, KC 30

Kenneth Walker scored twice in 15 seconds, and a last second interception sealed the Chiefs' escape.

FanIQ Research · October 5, 2026 · 6 facts, every one from the play-by-play

Kansas City scored two offensive touchdowns 15 seconds of game clock apart. Six teams have done that in a fourth quarter since 1999.

Rare

Every fourth quarter with two offensive touchdowns by one team within 15 seconds of game clock, 1999 to 2026

Season	Week	Team	Opponent	Clock at TDs	Gap (sec)	Final
2002	16	IND	NYG	4:56, 4:50	6	NYG 44, IND 27
2006	10	LAC	CIN	15:00, 14:46	14	LAC 49, CIN 41
2007	17	ATL	SEA	13:34, 13:20	14	ATL 44, SEA 41
2012	3	DET	TEN	0:20, 0:06	14	TEN 44, DET 41
2022	5	NYJ	MIA	9:26, 9:13	13	NYJ 40, MIA 17
2026	4	KC	LV	3:25, 3:10	15	KC 30, LV 27

Kenneth Walker III ran in from 2 yards at 3:25 to put Kansas City ahead 23-19, and the two point try failed. On the next kickoff Jack Cochrane recovered a Dareke Young fumble at the Raiders 22, and Walker ran 22 yards for a second touchdown at 3:10. In all six cases the scoring team got the ball straight back: five times on a turnover on the kickoff or the next snap, and once, for Detroit, on an onside kick. Two of the six teams still lost.

Why it matters. A game that was 19-17 to the Raiders with under four minutes left became a 30-19 Chiefs lead before the Raiders ran a single offensive play. The kickoff fumble is the mechanism: it gave Kansas City a short field that needed one carry. Only one other team on this list did it later in a game, and Detroit lost that one.

Kansas City's win probability was 33 percent before a 3rd and 5 with 3:35 left. Before the extra point that made it 30-19, it was 97 percent.

Trend

Final four minutes, Kansas City win probability before each play

Clock	Play	KC win prob.
3:35	3rd and 5: Mahomes to Tyquan Thornton, 55 yards to the LV 5, plus 3 yard penalty	33.2%
3:25	Walker 2 yard TD run, KC leads 23-19	68.2%
3:25	Two point pass to Walker incomplete	76.8%
3:25	Kickoff, Dareke Young fumbles, KC recovers at LV 22	72.0%
3:10	Walker 22 yard TD run, KC leads 29-19	87.1%
3:10	Harrison Butker extra point, KC leads 30-19	96.8%

The Raiders were not finished. Kirk Cousins hit Brock Bowers for a 20 yard touchdown at 1:54 and found Cody White for two points to make it 30-27. Kansas City recovered the onside kick, and Matt Araiza's punt was downed at the Raiders 1 by Xavier Nwankpa. The Raiders drove from their own 1 to the Kansas City 49 before Nwankpa intercepted a pass meant for Michael Mayer with 10 seconds left.

Why it matters. The swing started on a 3rd and 5 from the Kansas City 40, the one snap where a stop would have handed the Raiders the ball with a lead. Thornton was injured on that 55 yard catch, so the comeback ran through the ground game after it. Nwankpa appears at both ends of the closing sequence: he shared the tackle on the fumbled kickoff and the interception that ended the game.

Kenneth Walker III has two 170 yard rushing games in his first four as a Chief. Only three other Chiefs since 1999 had two in a whole season.

Milestone

Kansas City seasons with two or more 170 yard rushing games by one player, regular season, 1999 to 2026

Player	Season	Games	Yards in those games
Priest Holmes	2002	2	180, 197
Larry Johnson	2005	2	211, 201
Jamaal Charles	2010	2	177, 173
Jamaal Charles	2012	2	233, 226
Kenneth Walker III	2026	2	173, 177

Kenneth Walker III, top regular season rushing games of his career

Season	Week	Team	Opp	Carries	Yards	TD
2026	4	KC	LV	22	177	2
2026	1	KC	DEN	23	173	1
2022	7	SEA	LAC	23	167	2
2022	17	SEA	NYJ	23	133	0

Walker ran 22 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns, the most rushing yards in any regular season game of his career. Two of his three best games have now come in September and October of 2026. Between his 170 yard games he had 117 yards against Indianapolis and 70 against Miami.

Why it matters. Kansas City has spent most of the Mahomes era as a pass first offense, and no Chief had two 170 yard games in one season from 2013 through 2025. Walker reached that mark in four weeks, so this is a real change in how the offense is built rather than one big afternoon. Kansas City's 25 carries in this game averaged plus 0.233 EPA, better than its 32 passing plays at plus 0.084.

Nobody scored in the third quarter. The fourth produced 34 of the game's 57 points.

Split

Points by quarter

Quarter	KC	LV
1	7	7
2	3	6
3	0	0
4	20	14

Offensive efficiency, first three quarters versus the fourth (pass and run plays, kneels and two point tries excluded)

Team	Period	Plays	EPA/play	Success%	Yards
KC	Q1 to Q3	44	0.084	47.7%	301
KC	Q4	13	0.370	30.8%	99
LV	Q1 to Q3	48	-0.064	45.8%	254
LV	Q4	27	0.209	51.9%	183

The Raiders led 13-10 after three quarters on an Ian Thomas touchdown and two Matt Gay field goals. Gay added two more in the fourth, from 44 and 48 yards, to finish 4 for 4. Kansas City ran only 13 fourth quarter plays and scored 20 points, because a 55 yard catch and a fumbled kickoff did most of the work.

Why it matters. Kansas City's fourth quarter success rate fell to 30.8 percent from 47.7 percent over the first three quarters, yet its EPA per play more than quadrupled. That combination means the late points came from a handful of explosive plays and a turnover rather than sustained drives. The Raiders were the steadier offense in the fourth on success rate and still lost the quarter by 6.

The Raiders ran 75 plays to Kansas City's 57, and their run game was worse than its already weak first three weeks.

Comparison

EPA per play by play type, this game versus 2026 Weeks 1 to 3

Team	Type	This game plays	This game EPA	This game succ%	Wk 1-3 plays	Wk 1-3 EPA	Wk 1-3 succ%
KC	Pass	32	0.084	40.6%	102	0.236	52.0%
KC	Run	25	0.233	48.0%	89	0.125	48.3%
LV	Pass	49	0.178	53.1%	97	0.178	49.5%
LV	Run	26	-0.237	38.5%	85	-0.197	30.6%

Kirk Cousins went 31 of 52 for 365 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, and his passing game matched its Weeks 1 to 3 rate exactly at plus 0.178 per play. The Raiders run game, minus 0.197 per play coming in, fell to minus 0.237; Ashton Jeanty had 58 yards on 15 carries. Kansas City flipped its usual shape: its passing fell from plus 0.236 to plus 0.084 while its running rose from plus 0.125 to plus 0.233.

Why it matters. The Raiders' volume came almost entirely through the air, and a run game that weak leaves an offense needing long drives through the air, which is how the final drive started from its own 1. Kansas City won with its lower volume because its run game produced nearly double its usual value per carry. Three games is a small baseline, so the size of each shift deserves caution, but the direction is clear for both teams.

Andy Reid's Chiefs are now 22-5 against the Raiders, and 11-3 at the Raiders' home stadium.

Milestone

Kansas City versus the Raiders under Andy Reid, regular season, 2013 to 2026

Site	Games	KC wins	KC losses	Decided by 3 or fewer
At the Raiders	14	11	3	3
KC home	13	11	2	2

Every Kansas City loss to the Raiders under Andy Reid

Season	Week	Site	Result
2014	12	At Raiders	LV 24, KC 20
2017	7	At Raiders	LV 31, KC 30
2020	5	KC home	LV 40, KC 32
2023	16	KC home	LV 20, KC 14
2025	18	At Raiders	LV 14, KC 12

This 30-27 result was the third road meeting under Reid decided by 3 points or fewer. The most recent of the five losses came in Week 18 of 2025 at the Raiders' stadium, 14-12, and Kansas City answered it here by the same narrow kind of margin.

Why it matters. A 22-5 record means the Raiders have beaten Reid's Chiefs about once every five meetings, and the road split is nearly as strong as the home split. The close games are where the Raiders have broken through: two of the five losses came by 1 or 2 points. This one fit the pattern of a tight game in the Raiders' building, and Kansas City came out on the right side of it.

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