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Giants @ Commanders

2026 Wk 5 · WAS 27, NYG 27

The Giants erased a 14 point fourth quarter deficit, then missed a kick and lost a fumble in overtime.

Dominic Zvada missed three field goals, including a 46 yarder in overtime. Since 1999, one other kicker has missed three in a game that ended in a tie.

Rare

Every game since 1999 that ended in a tie with one kicker missing 3 or more field goals

SeasonWeekGameKickerMadeMissedAttempts
20182MIN at GB, 29 to 29Daniel Carlson033
20265NYG at WAS, 27 to 27Dominic Zvada235

Dominic Zvada field goals by game, 2026

WeekOpponentMadeAttempts
2LA22
3TEN44
4ARI33
5WAS25

Zvada came in 9 of 9 on the season. Here he made kicks of 51 and 56 yards but missed from 50, 57 and 46, the last one on fourth and 8 from the Washington 28 with 8:01 left in overtime. Washington had its own kicking miss: its first extra point went wide left, and the game ended level.

Why it matters. In a game that finishes level, any single made kick changes the result, so three misses carry an unusually direct cost. The overtime miss came from 46 yards, the shortest of his three misses, after a perfect first four weeks. That makes it an outlier against his own 2026 record rather than evidence of a long running problem.

The Giants' win probability fell to 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter. In overtime it reached 82.0 percent, and they still did not win.

Trend

Giants win probability before each key play

PeriodClockPlayScore NYG to WASNYG win prob
Q411:05Kickoff after Daniels 26 yard TD run and 2 point try13 to 274.1%
Q47:244th and 8, Winston to Likely, TD after review13 to 273.8%
Q41:48Winston to Nabers, 17 yard TD20 to 2726.7%
OT8:47Winston to Likely to the WAS 2827 to 2782.0%
OT8:01Zvada 46 yard field goal, no good27 to 2779.8%
OT2:00Skattebo fumble at the WAS 24, recovered by WAS27 to 2755.5%
OT0:12Daniels sacked at the NYG 2427 to 2741.0%

The fourth down touchdown to Isaiah Likely was first ruled a fumble at the 1 and a touchback. Replay reversed it. The Giants then tied the game with 1:48 left. In overtime they reached the Washington 28 and the Washington 24 on separate drives and came away with no points from either.

Why it matters. A team at 3.8 percent is effectively beaten, so the comeback alone was a large swing. The overtime half of the arc is the other side of it: two drives inside the Washington 30 with a combined zero points. The reversed touchdown matters most, because without it the Giants' chance was close to zero with 7:24 left.

Giants and Washington have now tied twice in four seasons. Only two other matchups have ended in a tie twice since 1999.

Rare

Every pair of teams with two or more ties since 1999

TeamsTiesSeasons
CIN and PHI22008, 2020
GB and MIN22013, 2018
NYG and WAS22022, 2026

Giants versus Washington since 2022

SeasonWeekResult
202213WAS 20, NYG 20
202215NYG 20, WAS 12
20237NYG 14, WAS 7
202311NYG 31, WAS 19
20242WAS 21, NYG 18
20249WAS 27, NYG 22
20251WAS 21, NYG 6
202515WAS 29, NYG 21
20265NYG 27, WAS 27

Sixteen games since 1999 have ended in a tie, and these two teams account for two of them. Washington had won the last four meetings. This result ends that run without giving the Giants a win.

Why it matters. Ties are rare enough that a repeat between the same two teams is mostly chance. It still shapes the division: a half game in the standings can decide tiebreaks in a way a normal result cannot. For the Giants, it also ends a four game losing run against Washington.

The Giants gained 171 yards in three quarters, then 238 in the fourth quarter and overtime.

Split

Offense on pass and run plays, Q1 to Q3 versus Q4 and overtime

TeamPeriodPlaysYardsEPA/playSuccess%
NYGQ1 to Q349171-0.14742.9%
NYGQ4 and OT342380.37155.9%
WASQ1 to Q3352340.17748.6%
WASQ4 and OT251470.01840.0%

The two offenses swapped places. New York went from minus 0.147 EPA per play to plus 0.371. Washington went from plus 0.177 to plus 0.018, and its success rate dropped from 48.6 percent to 40.0 percent.

Why it matters. The Giants trailed 19 to 13 after three quarters despite the weaker offense to that point, which kept the game close enough for a late surge to matter. Their late success came on a smaller sample of 34 plays. The Giants were trailing for most of those snaps, which tends to push an offense toward the pass, and they threw 54 times in all.

Malik Nabers drew 20 targets. Since 1999, only Odell Beckham Jr. has had that many in a Giants regular season game.

Comparison

Giants regular season games with 18 or more targets, since 1999

PlayerSeasonWeekOpponentTargetsRecYards
Odell Beckham Jr.201417PHI2112185
Odell Beckham Jr.201616PHI2011150
Malik Nabers20265WAS2011121
Jeremy Shockey200211WAS1811111
Odell Beckham Jr.201512WAS189142
Malik Nabers20242WAS1810127

Nabers caught 11 for 121 yards, including the 17 yard touchdown with 1:48 left that set up the tying extra point. Jameis Winston went 33 of 54 for 326 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Isaiah Likely added 11 catches on 13 targets with 2 scores. Four of the six games in the table came against Washington, including both of Nabers' entries.

Why it matters. Twenty targets in a game usually means a team is trailing and throwing on most snaps, and the Giants threw 54 times. Nabers' 121 yards on 20 targets is a lower yield than Beckham's two entries, so the number reflects volume more than efficiency. It also shows how much of the passing game ran through him when the Giants needed points.

Jayden Daniels ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns. The only other Washington quarterback to do both in a game since 1999 is Robert Griffin, in 2012.

Milestone

Every Washington quarterback regular season game with 100 or more rushing yards, since 1999

PlayerSeasonWeekOpponentCarriesRush ydsRush TD
Robert Griffin20126MIN131382
Jayden Daniels202417ATL161270
Jayden Daniels20265NYG91032

Both Daniels touchdowns came on scrambles, from 38 yards in the third quarter and 26 yards on third and 2 in the fourth. He needed only 9 carries. As a passer he went 17 of 25 for 199 yards with no touchdowns and was sacked 5 times.

Why it matters. Washington's two offensive touchdowns after the first quarter both came from Daniels running, so his legs did the scoring his passing did not. Five sacks and no passing touchdowns show how hard the Giants made it to throw. The scramble is the part of his game a defense cannot fully plan for.

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