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Peyton Manning

QB

Peyton Manning: facts drawn from the play-by-play.

His career has two clean acts — and one missing year right in the middle.

Trend

Manning regular-season passing by year

YearTmGYdsTDsINTs
1999IND164,1352615
2000IND164,4133315
2001IND164,1312623
2002IND164,2002719
2003IND164,2672910
2004IND164,5574910
2005IND163,7472810
2006IND164,397319
2007IND164,0403114
2008IND164,0022712
2009IND164,5003316
2010IND164,7003317
2011IND0———
2012DEN164,6593711
2013DEN165,4775510
2014DEN164,7273915
2015DEN102,249917

Yards per game by season

SeasonYPG (regular season)
1999258.4
2000275.8
2003266.7
2004284.8
2009281.3
2010293.8
2012291.2
2013342.3
2014295.4
2015224.9

The shape of his career looks unique among all-time QBs: 12 straight 4,000-yard years in Indianapolis (1999–2010), a missing 2011 — he sat out the entire season after multiple neck surgeries — and then a four-year second act in Denver that contained the single best statistical season any QB has ever produced (2013). The drop-off in 2015 (224.9 YPG, 9 TDs vs 17 INTs) is the steepest year-over-year decline of any prime-era QB in the database, and yet that team still won a Super Bowl with him as starter.

55 TDs in 2013 — the only 5,000-yard, 55-TD season ever played.

Milestone

50+ passing TD seasons since 1999

QBYearYdsTDs
Peyton Manning20135,47755
Patrick Mahomes20185,09750
Tom Brady20074,80650

Manning 2013 — TDs by week (Wk 1: 7 TDs vs BAL)

WeekPass TDs
W1 BAL7
W2 NYG2
W3 LV3
W4 PHI4
W5 DAL4
W8 WAS4
W13 KC5
W16 HOU4
W17 LV4

Only three QBs since 1999 have thrown 50+ TDs in a regular season — and Manning's 55 still tops both Mahomes (50 in 2018) and Brady (50 in 2007). What sets 2013 apart is that he paired the TD record with a 5,477-yard total. No other QB has ever cleared both 5,000 yards and 50 TDs in the same year. He started it with a 7-TD opener vs Baltimore, the only 7-TD game by any QB in the past 25 seasons that wasn't followed up by a sub-300-yard week.

IND era vs DEN era: Denver Manning was the more efficient version of him.

Split

Career split by team

EraYrsGYdsTDsINTsComp%YPA
IND (1999–2010)1219251,08937317065.7%7.70
DEN (2012–2015)45817,1121405366.5%7.89

The story is usually that Manning's prime was Indianapolis. The numbers say something more nuanced: the Denver years were per-attempt better. Higher completion rate (66.5% vs 65.7%), higher yards per attempt (7.89 vs 7.70), and a TD-to-INT ratio of 2.6:1 in Denver versus 2.2:1 in Indianapolis. The IND volume was historic (51,000+ yards over 12 years), but the post-neck-surgery, no-huddle DEN offense extracted more from each throw — including the 55-TD 2013 record that no QB has matched.

Career red-zone TD rate of 25% — and unlike most QBs, his EPA stays high there too.

Rare

Career passing by field area (1999–2015)

AreaAttComp%TDsINTsEPA/play
Inside opp 201,45557.0%36333+0.24
Rest of field8,68964.6%193214+0.20

363 red-zone passing TDs on 1,455 attempts — a 24.9% TD rate. The rate alone is elite, but the more interesting number is the EPA/play of +0.24 in the red zone, slightly *higher* than his +0.20 outside it. Compressed coverage usually crushes EPA inside the 20 — Mahomes's drops by 0.08 there, for example. Manning's didn't. His pre-snap audibles and tempo against red-zone fronts kept the per-play efficiency intact even as the field shrank, which is the structural reason for the absurd career TD count.

His final season was the worst by any QB to win a Super Bowl in the modern era.

Anomaly

2015 weekly arc — the diminished-arm year

WkOppAttYdsTDINT
1BAL4017501
4MIN2721312
6CLE4829013
10KC203504
17LAC96900
19 (DIV)PIT3722200
20 (CON)NE3217620
21 (SB 50)CAR2314101

His 2015 line — 9 TDs against 17 INTs in 10 regular-season games, benched in Week 10 after a 5-of-20, 35-yard, 4-INT start vs KC — is a season most QBs would never come back from. He returned in Week 17, then started every playoff game and threw 2 TDs and 1 INT across three postseason wins, including a 13-of-23 / 141-yard / 0-TD Super Bowl 50 victory carried by the Broncos defense. It is the lowest passing-yardage Super Bowl win by a starting QB in the play-by-play era.

4th on the all-time TD list since 1999 — but he played fewer games than the three above him.

Comparison

Career passing TDs since 1999 (regular season)

QBYdsTDsComp%Yrs
Tom Brady89,21664964.3%22
Drew Brees80,42857167.7%19
Aaron Rodgers66,26752765.1%21
Peyton Manning68,20151365.9%16
Philip Rivers63,97842564.9%17

Manning's 513 career TDs in 16 seasons averages out to 32.1 per year — the highest TD-per-season rate of any QB on this list. Brady got to 649 across 22 seasons (29.5/yr); Brees 571 in 19 (30.1/yr); Rodgers 527 in 21 (25.1/yr). Manning also missed all of 2011 to neck surgery, so the 16-year career was really 16 healthy seasons inside an 18-year window. If he'd played at his career rate in 2011 and 2016, the all-time TD lead would have been a much longer conversation.

Top 5 single-game passing days — and only one of them came in Indy.

Split

Top 5 regular-season passing games

DateTmOppYdsTDsINTs
2014 W5DENvs ARI47942
2004 W8INDvs KC47251
2013 W1DENvs BAL46270
2000 W4INDvs JAX44040
2014 W9DENvs NE43822

Despite playing three times as many games in Indianapolis as in Denver, four of his five highest-yardage games came in a Broncos uniform. That includes the 2013 W1 / 462-yd / 7-TD season opener vs Baltimore — still the only 7-TD performance ever immediately followed by a 300-yard game the next week — and back-to-back 400+ yard outings in 2014. The DEN offense's pace and vertical structure produced the highest per-game ceilings of his career.

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