Player
Zay Jones
WR · Cardinals
Jones's 2022 was built on concentrated volume in a few monster games rather than consistent week-to-week opportunity; his WOPR rank shows he was never the scheme's focal point, which explains why the production vanished when his game-to-game long shots stopped hitting.
His one full-time season (2022 JAX) landed him 28th of 33 WRs in WOPR — yet he still had two 10-catch games.
TrendWRs with 100+ targets in 2022: WOPR rank (Jones highlighted)
| WR | Team | Tgt | Avg WOPR | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore | CAR | 118 | 0.804 | 1 |
| Davante Adams | LV | 180 | 0.779 | 2 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 184 | 0.689 | 7 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 156 | 0.695 | 6 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| Zay Jones | JAX | 121 | 0.499 | 28 |
| Jaylen Waddle | MIA | 117 | 0.498 | 29 |
In 2022, his breakout year, Jones ranked 28th of 33 WRs with 100+ targets by average WOPR (weighted opportunity rating). He was not dominating share — he was a mid-tier opportunity receiver in Jacksonville's spread-the-ball offense under Doug Pederson.
Yet in that same season, he posted two 10+ catch games (vs LAC Week 3: 10/85/1; vs BAL Week 12: 11/145/0). Only 12 WRs matched that in 2022, all of them elite starters. Jones did it as a WOPR28 player — the disconnect between his share rank and his peak-game output is the non-obvious part of his career.
Why it matters. Jones's 2022 was built on concentrated volume in a few monster games rather than consistent week-to-week opportunity; his WOPR rank shows he was never the scheme's focal point, which explains why the production vanished when his game-to-game long shots stopped hitting.
Career-best 11-rec, 145-yard game vs Baltimore in Week 12 of 2022.
MilestoneTop 5 regular-season receiving games
| Season | Week | Team | Opp | Rec | Yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | JAX | BAL | 11 | 145 | 0 |
| 2021 | 17 | LV | IND | 8 | 120 | 0 |
| 2022 | 15 | JAX | DAL | 6 | 109 | 3 |
| 2018 | 10 | BUF | NYJ | 8 | 93 | 1 |
| 2018 | 17 | BUF | MIA | 6 | 93 | 2 |
The Week 15 2022 game vs Dallas is the most spectacular line — 6 catches, 109 yards, 3 TDs. That 3-TD game is the only multi-TD game of his career, and it came in the same season as his career-high 11-catch, 145-yard performance vs Baltimore.
Both peak games came in 2022 with Jacksonville. Three of his top-5 yardage games are from 2022 (JAX) — the season where he was Trevor Lawrence's most reliable short-to-intermediate option.
Why it matters. The concentration of elite single-game outputs in 2022 JAX reflects how Doug Pederson's scheme used Jones as a safety valve — when Lawrence was pressured or checking down, Jones was the trigger. His 11-catch game came against a Baltimore Cover-2 shell that left the middle soft.
2022 was the only season in his career he played all 16 regular-season games — every other era had him part-time.
TrendZay Jones games played per season (regular season)
| Season | Team | Games | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | BUF | 14 | 74 | 27 | 316 | 2 |
| 2018 | BUF | 16 | 102 | 56 | 652 | 7 |
| 2019 | BUF+LV | 14 | 45 | 27 | 216 | 0 |
| 2020 | LV | 11 | 20 | 14 | 154 | 1 |
| 2021 | LV | 15 | 70 | 47 | 546 | 1 |
| 2022 | JAX | 16 | 121 | 82 | 823 | 5 |
| 2023 | JAX | 9 | 64 | 34 | 321 | 2 |
| 2024 | ARI | 6 | 11 | 8 | 84 | 0 |
| 2025 | ARI | 6 | 18 | 12 | 183 | 0 |
Jones has appeared in 16 regular-season games exactly once in his career — 2022 with Jacksonville. Before that: he missed 2 games in 2017, split teams in 2019, sat out 5 games in 2020, and missed 1 in 2021. After that: 9 games in 2023 (injury), and 6-game stints in both 2024 and 2025 with Arizona.
His career stat line (525 targets, 307 rec, 3,295 yards, 18 TDs across 9 seasons) is almost entirely shaped by that one 16-game year. Remove 2022 and he's a 404-target, 225-rec career.
Why it matters. Jones's inability to stay healthy and maintain a full-time role across his career is what separates him from WRs with similar peak outputs — the 2022 season was a controlled experiment where everything aligned (full health, clear role, compatible QB), and it has not been repeated.
The 2018 Bills finished 30th in points scored — Jones still hit 7 TDs, tied for his career high.
AnomalyWRs with 100+ targets in 2018 and their TD totals
| WR | Team | Tgt | Rec | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Crabtree | BAL | 100 | 54 | 3 |
| Golden Tate | DET+PHI | 113 | 74 | 4 |
| Amari Cooper | OAK+DAL | 107 | 65 | 7 |
| Tyler Boyd | CIN | 108 | 76 | 7 |
| Zay Jones | BUF | 102 | 56 | 7 |
| Stefon Diggs | MIN | 149 | 102 | 9 |
| Antonio Brown | PIT | 168 | 104 | 15 |
2018 NFL points scored (bottom 5 teams)
| Rank | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 1st lowest | ARI | 225 |
| 2nd lowest | JAX | 245 |
| 3rd lowest (30th) | BUF | 269 |
| 4th lowest | WAS | 281 |
| 5th lowest | LV | 290 |
The 2018 Bills were 3rd-lowest in points scored (30th out of 32 teams, 269 points), with Josh Allen throwing 12 TDs and 15 INTs as a rookie. Jones still reached 7 receiving TDs — tied with Amari Cooper and Tyler Boyd, both on better offenses.
His 7 TDs in 2018 are still tied for his single-season career high — he never reached 7 again despite playing on the 2021 Raiders, 2022 Jaguars and other more productive offenses. In 5 seasons since 2018, he has reached 5 TDs just once (2022).
Why it matters. Red-zone usage in a low-volume offense can inflate TD totals relative to peers — the 2018 Bills may have relied on Jones near the goal line precisely because their run game and QB efficiency were poor, concentrating short-area targets on their second-round investment.
Even as a depth player in 2024-25, Jones caught 73% of his targets — his hands never left him.
SplitZay Jones catch rate by era
| Era | Team | Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rookie experiment | BUF 2017 | 74 | 27 | 36.5% | 316 |
| Volume breakout | BUF 2018 | 102 | 56 | 54.9% | 652 |
| Transition years | LV 2019-21 | 117 | 81 | 69.2% | 847 |
| Peak season | JAX 2022 | 121 | 82 | 67.8% | 823 |
| Injury year | JAX 2023 | 64 | 34 | 53.1% | 321 |
| Depth role | ARI 2024-25 | 29 | 20 | 69.0% | 267 |
Jones's catch rate tells a different story than his raw totals. As a 2017 Bills rookie he caught only 36.5% of his targets — a struggling outside WR fighting for his spot. By the time he reached Las Vegas in 2019-21, he shifted to a slot/underneath role and hit 69.2% catch rate on 117 targets.
His current Arizona stint (2024-25, 29 combined targets) maintains that 69% clip. The volume isn't there, but the efficiency is identical to his prime Las Vegas years. In terms of ball skills, his hands are the same; his opportunity has simply dried up.
Why it matters. The shift in catch rate from rookie (37%) to veteran (69%) reflects a route-tree change — Jones moved from being used as a downfield outside WR (prone to incompletions) to a reliable short-to-intermediate target, which preserved his efficiency even as his role shrank to depth status.
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