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Hayden Hurst

TE (retired)

Career counting stats establish the baseline that makes every contextual comparison meaningful — Hurst was functional, never impactful.

1st-round pick (#25, 2018). 7-year career, 82 regular-season games, 203 catches, 1,975 yards, 15 TDs.

Milestone

Career regular-season totals (reg-season only)

StatTotal
Games82
Receptions203
Receiving Yards1,975
Receiving TDs15
Y/R9.73

Why it matters. Career counting stats establish the baseline that makes every contextual comparison meaningful — Hurst was functional, never impactful.

2020 ATL (56-571-6) was his only elite season. His other 6 seasons averaged just 24 catches and 234 yards.

Trend

Hurst year-by-year receiving (reg-season)

YearTmRecYdsTD
2018BAL131631
2019BAL303492
2020ATL565716
2021ATL262213
2022CIN524142
2023CAR181841
2024LAC8730

Receiving yards by year (reg-season)

SeasonYards
2018163
2019349
2020571
2021221
2022414
2023184
202473

Why it matters. The career shape — one outlier season surrounded by roster-filler production — defines the boom-bust TE archetype that scouts still debate.

BAL era (behind Mark Andrews): 43-512-3. Post-BAL with the ball to himself: 160-1,463-12. The change of scenery was real.

Split

Hurst career splits (reg-season)

StopYearsGRecYdsTD
BAL2018-201925435123
ATL2020-202128827929
CIN202213524142
CAR20239181841
LAC202478730

Why it matters. The splits prove the shadow effect was real: Hurst's catch rate nearly doubled when Andrews wasn't ahead of him on the depth chart.

Same team, same 2018 draft: Hurst went #25 (1st round), Andrews went #86 (3rd round). Andrews: 484-5,952-56. Hurst: 203-1,975-15.

Rare

2018 BAL draft TE comparison (reg-season)

PlayerPickCareer RecCareer YdsCareer TD
Hayden Hurst#25 (Rd 1)2031,97515
Mark Andrews#86 (Rd 3)4845,95256

Why it matters. The Ravens evaluated both players simultaneously at the same position; that Andrews was the obvious choice by Year 2 makes Hurst's draft slot one of the cleaner round-value misevaluations in recent history.

Hurst's 2020 ATL season (56-571-6) was 93% above his career catch average — but still only ranked 14th among all TEs that year.

Comparison

Hurst 2020: peak vs career avg/yr (reg-season)

Stat2020Career avg/yr% above avg
Receptions5629+93%
Yards571282+102%
TDs62.1+186%

2020 TE receiving yard leaders (reg-season)

RankPlayerYds
1Travis Kelce1,416
2Darren Waller1,196
5Mark Andrews701
14Hayden Hurst571

Why it matters. A player who doubles his own average and still ranks 14th at his position illustrates how low the baseline was — not how good the peak was.

Hurst played professional baseball (MiLB pitcher, PIT system) before switching to football at South Carolina. He was 24 at draft day — 2-3 years older than typical 1st-round skill-position picks.

Anomaly

Hurst pre-NFL profile

StatValue
Pre-college careerMiLB pitcher (PIT system)
CollegeSouth Carolina
Birth dateAug 24, 1993
2018 draft dateApr 26, 2018 (age 24)
Draft pick#25 (1st rd, 2018)

Why it matters. Age at draft is a proxy for developmental runway; an older 1st-round pick carries more risk because the room for growth is compressed.

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