Player
Dyami Brown
WR · Jaguars
The gap between Brown's regular-season volume and his playoff production reveals a receiver who elevates when defenses respect his deep-route threat more than weekly targets suggest they should. His playoff yd/game matched Terry McLaurin's (76.3 vs 75.7) despite being a secondary option all regular season.
20.5 yards per game in the regular season, 76.3 in the 2024 playoffs — the largest reg-to-playoff per-game jump of any WR with 3+ postseason games since 2021.
AnomalyWRs by reg-to-playoff yd/game ratio — 3+ playoff games since 2021
| Player | Season | Reg yd/g | Playoff yd/g | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyami Brown | 2024 | 20.5 | 76.3 | 3.7x |
| Xavier Worthy | 2024 | 39.9 | 95.7 | 2.4x |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | 2021 | 38.4 | 72.0 | 1.9x |
| Jauan Jennings | 2023 | 20.4 | 37.0 | 1.8x |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2023 | 19.7 | 32.0 | 1.6x |
In the 2024 regular season Brown averaged just 20.5 yards per game (308 yards over 15 games). Then the playoffs hit: 76.3 yards per game across 3 games (229 total). That 3.7x ratio is the highest for any WR who appeared in at least 3 playoff games since 2021 — ahead of Xavier Worthy (2.4x) and Odell Beckham Jr. (1.9x).
Why it matters. The gap between Brown's regular-season volume and his playoff production reveals a receiver who elevates when defenses respect his deep-route threat more than weekly targets suggest they should. His playoff yd/game matched Terry McLaurin's (76.3 vs 75.7) despite being a secondary option all regular season.
aDOT of 14.0 ranks 11th out of 158 WRs with 100+ targets since 2021 — top 7% in target depth.
ComparisonTop WRs by average depth of target (aDOT), 2021–2025, 100+ targets
| Rank | Player | aDOT | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyquan Thornton | 17.7 | 113 |
| 2 | Justin Watson | 16.9 | 123 |
| 3 | Alec Pierce | 16.8 | 296 |
| 4 | Christian Watson | 16.1 | 227 |
| 5 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 15.9 | 251 |
| 6 | Kayshon Boutte | 15.8 | 121 |
| 7 | DJ Chark | 15.3 | 150 |
| 8 | Adonai Mitchell | 14.6 | 129 |
| 9 | Gabe Davis | 14.2 | 297 |
| 10 | Treylon Burks | 14.1 | 114 |
| 11 | Dyami Brown | 14.0 | 139 |
| 12 | Rome Odunze | 13.9 | 191 |
Among the 158 WRs with at least 100 regular-season targets from 2021 through 2025, Brown's 14.0 aDOT places him 11th — top 7%. His average target travels 14 yards downfield before the ball arrives, a profile shared with players like Gabe Davis and Alec Pierce — pure vertical threats. Compare that to Nico Collins (11.5) or Josh Palmer (11.1) from his own 2021 draft class.
Why it matters. An aDOT in the top 7% of the WR population tells defensive coordinators exactly what Brown is on every snap: a pre-snap deep-route threat, not a possession receiver. Quarterbacks who treat him as an underneath check-down (his short-route EPA is negative) leave production on the field.
168 receiving yards in all of 2023 regular season — then outgaining McLaurin in Washington's 2024 playoff run.
TrendDyami Brown vs Terry McLaurin — 2023 reg, 2024 reg, 2024 playoffs
| Player | 2023 Reg Yds | 2024 Reg Yds | 2024 Playoff Yds (3 G) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dyami Brown | 168 | 308 | 229 |
| Terry McLaurin | 1,002 | 1,096 | 227 |
Through the 2023 season Brown had managed just 168 receiving yards in 16 regular-season games — a 3.9% target share, barely a roster contributor. In the 2024 playoffs (three games vs TB, DET, PHI) he produced 229 yards on 18 targets — edging McLaurin's 227 to lead Washington's entire receiving corps by yards.
The transformation: Jayden Daniels' deep-ball tendency, an opening on the WR depth chart, and a 2024 regular-season target-share bump to 9.0% that carried straight into January.
Why it matters. Going from 168 annual yards to outgaining your team's franchise receiver in the playoffs is the kind of production arc that resets how a front office values a player — and it's what landed Brown his second NFL contract with Jacksonville.
3.9% regular-season target share in 2023 → 9.0% in 2024 — the biggest single-season jump among returning Washington receivers.
AnomalyTarget share by season (regular season, avg weekly)
| Season | Team | Tgt Share |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | WAS | 7.9% |
| 2022 | WAS | 5.0% |
| 2023 | WAS | 3.9% |
| 2024 | WAS | 9.0% |
| 2025 | JAX | 9.9% |
Returning WAS WRs — target share change 2023→2024 (regular season)
| Player | 2023 Tgt % | 2024 Tgt % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dyami Brown | 3.9% | 9.0% | +5.1 pp |
| Jamison Crowder | 2.8% | 7.8% | +5.0 pp |
| Terry McLaurin | 22.8% | 23.3% | +0.5 pp |
Among the three receivers who played meaningful snaps for Washington in both 2023 and 2024, Brown's target share rose the most: 3.9% → 9.0%, a 2.3× increase. The jump tracks directly to Jayden Daniels' deep-throw tendencies aligning with Brown's vertical route profile, plus reduced competition after Jahan Dotson was traded.
Why it matters. A player whose target share more than doubles while his team's offense also improves has both scheme fit and opportunity working in his favor simultaneously — a rare combination that explains why his per-game production doubled too.
35% of his career yards came on just 9 catches — his game-breaking value lives entirely in deep completions.
SplitBrown career regular-season catches by air-yards depth
| Air Yards at Target | Catches | Yards | Avg Yds/Catch |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 9 | 352 | 39.1 |
| 10–19 | 18 | 325 | 18.1 |
| 0–9 | 24 | 213 | 8.9 |
| Below 0 (behind LOS) | 28 | 121 | 4.3 |
Of Brown's 79 career regular-season receptions, just 9 came on passes thrown 20+ air yards downfield — but those 9 catches account for 352 of his 1,011 career yards (34.8%), averaging 39.1 yards per catch (vs. 34.0 for the WR average on the same depth). Remove those 9 plays and his remaining 70 catches average just 9.4 yards each — replacement-level production.
He also has 28 catches that came behind the line of scrimmage, averaging 4.3 yards each. His value is strikingly bimodal: explosive on deep completions, largely below-average everywhere else.
Why it matters. Understanding that a third of Brown's career production comes from 11% of his catches reframes how to use him: he should be a rotation deep-route player, not an every-down target, and teams that treat him as a possession receiver on shorter routes are likely destroying value.
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