Tyler Allgeier

His rookie year is still his best — and 2025 is the season he became the TD back.

The 1,035-yard rookie season as a 5th-round pick is one of the great hidden Falcons stories — Allgeier outproduced every drafted RB in his class until midway through year 2. The role shrank when Bijan Robinson arrived (2023), but his 2025 (8 rushing TDs in 143 carries) is by far his most productive scoring year despite the lowest YPC of his career.

Why it matters. A 5th-round RB who put up 1,035 rookie yards then lost touches to a top-10 pick still finding ways to add value (8 TDs in 2025) is a textbook role-evolution story — Atlanta has explicitly redefined Allgeier as their finisher even as overall workload shrinks.

Inside the 5-yard line he's converting 50% of carries into TDs — a goal-line monster.

In 2025, Allgeier has 10 carries inside the 5-yard line — and 5 of them scored. That's not Bijan's role anymore at the goal line; Atlanta has explicitly turned to the 5'11", 224-lb back when the field shrinks. 35 career inside-5 carries → 12 TDs (34%) is in the upper tier among modern complement backs.

Why it matters. A 50% TD conversion inside the 5 over 10 carries is elite finishing — and the 4-year trajectory (27% → 43% → 14% → 50%) shows Atlanta has consciously re-cast him as the goal-line specialist alongside Bijan, not just leaned on him by accident.

5th in his draft class in career rushing yards — and the only Day-3 pick to outrank two Day-2 backs.

Only three Day-2 picks (Cook, Walker, Hall) and 7th-round Pacheco are ahead of him in career rushing yards. 2,876 yards from pick #151 still puts him ahead of two Day-2 backs (Brian Robinson R3, Rachaad White R3) and three of the four Day-3 picks (Pierce, Pacheco-by-carries) — outstanding value from the 151st overall pick.

Why it matters. Day-3 RBs almost never beat Day-2 picks in career rushing yards. Allgeier passing Brian Robinson (R3) and Rachaad White (R3) — and trailing only the three R2 stars plus 7th-round outlier Pacheco — makes him one of the steals of the 2022 draft on a pure value basis.

His Bijan-era YPC drop (4.93 → 3.59) hides what changed: he stopped getting space.

In 2022, Allgeier broke a 20+ yard run every 35 carries. In 2025 it's down to once every 143. The carries aren't fewer — they're just shorter, denser, situational. His longest run of 2025 is 21 yards; his rookie long was 44.

The footprint of his usage has changed completely: 2022 was workhorse usage on a Bijan-less roster. 2025 is a goal-line and short-yardage specialist — which is why the TDs spike (8) while the explosive plays evaporate.

Why it matters. A starkly different runner now than as a rookie: same carry volume, but the 20+ yard runs almost disappeared and the long shrank from 44 to 21. The carries aren't being wasted — they're being deployed in tight, short-yardage and goal-line situations where explosive plays are impossible by design.

Behind Bijan he averages only ~30% of Atlanta's carries — but ~50% of the TDs.

2025 is the breakthrough: Allgeier scored more rushing TDs (8) than Bijan (7) despite getting half the carries. Bijan keeps the bell-cow role and the explosive-play volume — but inside the 10, Atlanta is trusting Allgeier to finish drives. That's a rarely-talked-about, fantasy-relevant split that's been hiding in plain sight.

Why it matters. In a true bell-cow backfield, the lead back keeps the TDs too. Atlanta has done the opposite in 2025 — Bijan dominates the carries and the yards, but Allgeier scored MORE rushing TDs (8 vs 7) on half the volume. That's a deliberate goal-line role split that goes almost unmentioned in fantasy chatter.