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Daniel Bellinger

TE

Air yards per reception measures how far downfield a receiver is targeted before the catch; a jump from ~5 yards to 12.8 yards signals a scheme shift from check-down work to seam routes and crossing patterns deeper in the defense, which inflates Y/R but also increases boom-bust variance.

Bellinger's 2025 air depth per catch doubled his career average — he's being used as a downfield TE for the first time.

Bellinger air yards per reception by season

YearRecAir Yds/RecY/R
2022304.78.9
2023255.210.2
2024144.98.9
20251912.815.1

Why it matters. Air yards per reception measures how far downfield a receiver is targeted before the catch; a jump from ~5 yards to 12.8 yards signals a scheme shift from check-down work to seam routes and crossing patterns deeper in the defense, which inflates Y/R but also increases boom-bust variance.

Among 4th-round TEs since 2010, Bellinger ranks 4th in longevity for his drafting team — ahead of Dalton Schultz and Isaiah Likely.

Rare

4th-round TEs by game-weeks for drafting team (2010+)

PlayerDraftGame-Weeks
Tyler Higbee2016 R4 LAR128
Durham Smythe2018 R4 MIA89
Ian Thomas2018 R4 CAR71
Daniel Bellinger2022 R4 NYG50
Dalton Schultz2018 R4 DAL62
Isaiah Likely2022 R4 BAL55

Why it matters. 4th-round TEs routinely wash out within two seasons; surviving 50 regular-season game-weeks as the franchise TE for the team that drafted you is a retention rate most pass-catching TEs from that round never reach, reflecting both durability and scheme fit.

His 2025 catch rate dropped to 73% — 16 points below his rookie efficiency — even as his yardage output spiked.

Trend

Bellinger catch rate and Y/R by season

YearTargetsRecCatch%Y/R
2022353085.7%8.9
2023282589.3%10.2
2024171482.4%8.9
2025261973.1%15.1

Why it matters. A simultaneous drop in catch rate and spike in Y/R is the signature of a receiver shifting from high-percentage short targets to lower-percentage deep routes; Bellinger is producing more yards per touch but converting fewer opportunities, a tradeoff that makes him boom-bust in fantasy and high-variance in game plans.

Only 3 NYG-drafted TEs since 2010 have played 20+ games for the Giants: Engram, Bellinger, and now Theo Johnson.

Split

NYG-drafted TEs with 20+ NYG game-weeks since 2010

PlayerDraft YearRoundNYG Game-WeeksNYG Rec
Evan Engram2017R165262
Daniel Bellinger2022R45088
Theo Johnson2024R42674

Why it matters. The Giants have historically had one of the league's thinnest TE development pipelines — most draft picks at the position churn out within a season or two. The franchise is currently developing its most TE-deep post-2010 roster, with all three picks from 2017, 2022, and 2024 sticking.

Bellinger has 88 career catches on just 106 targets — a 83% catch rate that ranks among the most efficient TEs of his era.

Bellinger career receiving

StatValue
Seasons2022–2025
Targets106
Receptions88
Catch Rate83.0%
Receiving Yards934
Receiving TDs4
Y/R10.6

Why it matters. Catch rate for TEs is driven by route type and QB-TE chemistry; an 83% career mark reflects a player used almost exclusively in high-percentage short areas, where the QB trusts him to hold on and create yards after contact rather than win contested downfield balls.

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