Player
Breece Hall
RB · NYJ Jets
A 1,000-yard season in a bad offense is worth more as a signal than the same yardage in a good one: light passing games invite stacked boxes, so every yard is earned against a defense expecting the run. The drought itself also says something about the franchise; ten years of failed backfields ended the moment Hall got a full workhorse load, which frames the 2026 usage question as the only question.
The drought breaker
1,065 yards in 2025: the first 1,000-yard rushing season by a Jet in a decade.
MilestoneJets 1,000-yard rushing seasons since 1999
| Season | Back | Yards |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Breece Hall | 1,065 |
| 2015 | Chris Ivory | 1,070 |
| 2012 | Shonn Greene | 1,063 |
| 2011 | Shonn Greene | 1,054 |
| 2009 | Thomas Jones | 1,402 |
| 2004 | Curtis Martin | 1,697 |
Between Chris Ivory in 2015 and Hall in 2025 sits a full decade in which no Jets running back reached 1,000 rushing yards, through the Darnold years, the Zach Wilson years and everything else. Hall broke the drought on a career-high 243 carries, and did it in an offense whose quarterbacks (Fields, Brady Cook, Tyrod Taylor) gave opposing defenses no reason to leave the box.
Why it matters. A 1,000-yard season in a bad offense is worth more as a signal than the same yardage in a good one: light passing games invite stacked boxes, so every yard is earned against a defense expecting the run. The drought itself also says something about the franchise; ten years of failed backfields ended the moment Hall got a full workhorse load, which frames the 2026 usage question as the only question.
Myth test: the torn ACL stole his burst. His 2025 season produced the most explosive runs of his career.
Hall runs of 20+ yards by season (regular season)
| Season | Carries | 20+ yard runs | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 (rookie, 7 gm) | 80 | 3 | 3.8% |
| 2023 | 224 | 7 | 3.1% |
| 2024 | 212 | 3 | 1.4% |
| 2025 | 243 | 8 | 3.3% |
The knee tear that ended his rookie year hangs over every Hall evaluation, and his flat 2024 (three explosive runs all season) seemed to confirm the fade. Then 2025 delivered 8 runs of 20-plus yards, the most of his career, at a 3.3 percent rate, half again the league running back average of 2.2 percent. Whatever went missing in 2024, it was not permanent. The burst is back on tape, in the biggest sample of his life.
Why it matters. Explosive-run rate is the cleanest proxy for the trait ACL injuries actually threaten: top-end acceleration. A back who still rips 20-yard runs at 1.5 times the league rate three years post-surgery has functionally answered the medical question. The 2024 dip now reads as the outlier season, which matters because the market's memory of it is part of why he costs a third-round pick.
The role, reshaped
In 2023 he caught more passes than any running back in football. Two years later he ranked 15th.
TrendHall's receiving role by season (regular season)
| Season | Targets | Catches | Rank among RBs (catches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 95 | 76 | 1st |
| 2024 | 76 | 57 | 4th |
| 2025 | 48 | 36 | 15th |
The 2023 version of Hall led every running back in the NFL in receptions. Since then the role has been cut nearly in half twice over: 95 targets, then 76, then 48. That slide, not the rushing, is why his PPR points per game fell from 17.1 to 13.0 while his rushing yards actually went up. The runner improved; the pass-catcher got benched by the play-calling.
Why it matters. For a PPR running back, targets are worth roughly twice what carries are, so losing 47 targets between 2023 and 2025 erased about four points a game from Hall's scoring, more than the entire gap between his best and worst seasons. Receiving usage is scheme-driven and changes with coordinators and quarterbacks, which cuts both ways: it left without his play declining, and it can return the same way.
Four years in, he still leads the 2022 RB class in receiving. The class's scrimmage crown belongs to a division rival.
ComparisonThe 2022 RB draft class, career numbers through 2025 (regular season)
| Back | Draft pick | Receiving yards | Catches | Scrimmage yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 36 | 1,642 | 188 | 5,040 |
| James Cook | 63 | 1,174 | 130 | 5,433 |
| Rachaad White | 91 | 1,450 | 205 | 4,106 |
| Kyren Williams | 164 | 745 | 111 | 4,579 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 41 | 1,005 | 133 | 4,560 |
Hall's 1,642 career receiving yards lead the entire 2022 running back class, and his 5,040 scrimmage yards trail only James Cook's 5,433, a race between two AFC East backs drafted 27 picks apart. The three-down toolkit that made Hall the class's first pick off the board is all still in the data; 2025 just used one tool at a time.
Why it matters. Class-mate comparisons control for era and mileage, and this one shows Hall's profile is the broadest in his class even after the down-usage year: nobody else combines his rushing volume with his receiving resume. Entering his age-25 season, he has four years of experience and the class receiving lead, a combination that historically ages well because pass-game roles are what keep backs employed past their rushing prime.
2025 was his best rushing season and his worst fantasy season. Both things are true, and the gap is the whole story.
SplitHall season by season (regular season)
| Season | Scrimmage yards | Catches | Total TDs | PPR pts/game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 (7 gm) | 681 | 19 | 5 | 16.4 |
| 2023 | 1,585 | 76 | 9 | 17.1 |
| 2024 | 1,359 | 57 | 8 | 15.1 |
| 2025 | 1,415 | 36 | 5 | 13.0 |
Hall posted 1,415 scrimmage yards in 2025, tenth among all running backs, on a career-high workload, and scored a career-low 13.0 PPR points per game. The yardage machine ran fine; the two premium currencies, catches (36) and touchdowns (5), both hit career lows for a full season. Fantasy scoring is yardage times opportunity quality, and 2025 gave him volume with the quality stripped out.
Why it matters. When a back's yardage holds while his points collapse, the difference is always in the volatile components, and those regress faster than talent does. The stable half of Hall's profile (85-plus scrimmage yards a game, three years running) is intact; the missing half was four goal-line carries and a vanished passing role, both scheme decisions. That is a materially better bear case than declining yardage would be.
The bounce case
The quiet fact of 2025: Hall owned 71 percent of the Jets' running back touches. There is no committee.
RareNYJ running back touches, 2025 (regular season)
| Back | Touches | Carries | Catches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 279 | 243 | 36 |
| Isaiah Davis | 64 | 43 | 21 |
| Braelon Allen | 20 | 18 | 2 |
| Khalil Herbert | 17 | 16 | 1 |
The perennial offseason story is that the Jets want a committee. The 2025 ledger says otherwise: Hall took 279 of the 393 running back touches, 71 percent, with no other back reaching 65. Committee backfields do not hand one man a career-high 243 carries. Whatever the depth chart says in August, the touches have kept choosing Hall.
Why it matters. Touch share is the most important fantasy stat that never appears in a box score, and 71 percent is bell-cow territory. The signal is doubly useful because it survived a coaching staff that publicly flirted with spreading the work: when talk and touches disagree, trust the touches. His floor at a round-3 price rests on this number holding near 70.
Three full seasons, three yards-per-carry marks inside a third of a yard: 4.46, 4.19, 4.38. The floor never moves.
AnomalyHall rushing efficiency by season (regular season)
| Season | Carries | Yards per carry |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 (7 gm) | 80 | 5.79 |
| 2023 | 223 | 4.46 |
| 2024 | 209 | 4.19 |
| 2025 | 243 | 4.38 |
Across three full seasons, in three different offensive systems, behind three different line configurations, Hall's yards per carry has lived in a band a third of a yard wide: 4.46, 4.19, 4.38. The 5.79 rookie flash remains the outlier. What he actually is, per the data, is a metronome: never elite per carry, never below 4.1, in an offense that gave defenses every reason to load the box.
Why it matters. Per-carry efficiency for most backs swings wildly with blocking and box counts, so a back who holds a tight band through this much environmental churn is showing you his true talent level with unusual clarity. A stable 4.2-to-4.5 is the profile of a volume-dependent RB1: the upside case runs entirely through touches and scoring chances, not through an efficiency spike, and the touches are already there.
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